Report Description

The USMLE Step1 Predicted Ranges Report report displays the USMLE Step 1 Predicted Range scores for students in two visualizations. The first visualization shows the predicted score range by graduation cohort.  The second visualization compares the predicted scores using Core vs Select.  The report also includes a detail section that shows the student details plus the score range the selected model predicts the student will score within. 

Data included in the predictive model: data from the cohort of 2018 going forward, including student that have a Step 1 score at the time that the report was run, and eliminating any student rows with missing data.

Filters

Graduation Cohort

Cohort when the student is expected to graduate. Graduation cohorts beginning with an X indicate a student who is not actively in the MD Program. Those with an XLOA cohort are still expected to return to the MD Program.

Predictor Model

Select Prediction Model for which the report will show predicted scores using exam results available by the end of the selected year.

Visualizations

Predicted Score Range by Graduation Cohort

Each bar represents a count of students who will take the test in a given graduation cohort and displays the distribution of their predicted exam scores by ranges. Each range is stacked on top of one another, with the lowest scores at the bottom and higher scores near the top.

The first range is under passing score. Subsequent range groups are 15 points each.

Core vs Select - Predicted Score

Student counts displayed by Curriculum Program within the Predicted Score Ranges.  This visualization can show how students compare by academic year in a given graduation cohort.

The first range is Under Passing score. Subsequent range groups are 15 points each.

Details

USF ID

Student's U-number used to uniquely identify them.

Predicted Score Range

Range the student score is predicted to fall within.

Attribute

Attribute of a student in USF Health Banner. Usually used for denoting the Core and Select Curriculum Programs, but may also include other legacy values.

Matriculation Term

The effective term of matriculation - the term the student began classes in the MD Program.

Graduation Cohort

Cohort when the student is expected to graduate. Graduation cohorts beginning with an X indicate a student who is not actively in the MD Program. Those with an XLOA cohort are still expected to return to the MD Program.

Predicted Model

The Prediction Model used to predict scores with factors available by the end of that medical year.

Data Refreshed On

Data in this report is not live. Health Banner data is refreshed once daily. The date on the bottom right of the report displays the most recent day the prediction was completed. Data used for this prediction is only available after a new cohort of MD students has completed Year 1 or Year 2 course work.

Disclaimer

USMLE Scores displayed on this report are predicted, not actual results. This report displays student information as the are currently in USF Health Banner. Those values are subject to change over time. Unauthorized use of this report is prohibited. If you log on to this computer system, you acknowledge your awareness of and concurrence with the University of South Florida policies. The University will prosecute violators to the full extent of the law.